Indian economy is Counted as an
attractive destination for investment, there is robust demand for banking
services in India. India has huge and untapped potential for banks fueled by
growing demand for affordable and high return savings products. The key objective of
broadening and deepening reach of banking services in India has prompted RBI to
consider giving fresh banking licenses after 10 years. RBI recently announced
its guidelines for licensing of new banks which clearly indicates that the
RBI’s preference is to have larger banks. As entry barrier would be high, only
serious players will enter into the banking sector.The corporate businesses,
where the promoter shareholding is less than 49%, could effectively qualify for
acquiring the license. But the PSU companies are not qualified, as by
definition, they have more than 51% promoter holding. So, the PSU companies are
not in the race and one should not expect a government owned bank to come up.
The guidelines stipulate that the promoter shareholding of the holding company
should have to be brought down to 40% and the bank must get listed within 3
years from the date of commencement of the bank. Now, here is the catch.
Suppose, the new bank starts with the minimum paid-up capital of INR 500
crores; as per this guideline, the promoter shareholding has to be brought down
to 40% (which is INR 200 crores) within 3 years. So, the return that the
promoter would get with this reduced holding after 3 years would also decrease
in comparison to the earlier situation, when the promoter had INR 500 crores.
Thus, it is very likely that the new banks may start their business with
starting capital greater than INR 500 crores. One of the guidelines states that
the individual voting rights is restricted to 10% and the companies belonging
to the promoters must hold at least 51% of the total voting equity shares. The
implication is that a big parent unlisted
company’s holding must be restricted to only 10%.
The RBI guidelines may implicitly restrict
some companies to enter into the banking sector. FDI in new banks would be
capped at 49% of equity for initial 5 years and may be extended up to 74% thereafter,
as per the policy. The bank must open at least 25% of its branches in rural
areas having population greater than or equal to 10,000. Bank should also
operate on Core Banking Solutions (CBS) from the start and be equipped with all
modern infrastructural facilities. The potential entrants can be TATA Capital,
Reliance Capital, L&T Finance, Shriram Transport Finance (STFC), Mahindra
& Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS), Bajaj Finserv, etc.Since a large part
of Indian population is not served directly by banks, mainly rural population,
the banks will have to come up with several schemes to lure the customers and
thus, create differentiation. The banks will have to be patient enough in the
rural areas as the profit from these branches grow very slowly. One more point
to be noted is that once the new banks come into the business, they can’t sell
it off in the next few years. It means that exit barrier is also high same as
the entry barrier. Thus, the new banking license is in sync with the reform
process carried out by the government. But, it must be ensured that the entire
process is finished off effectively and within time. The new entry of banks
would no doubt intensify the competition of the banking sector but at the same
time, it would also exploit the untapped opportunities. This would help the
government to achieve their aim of financial inclusion.
The new banking licenses are undoubtedly
likely to encounter challenges of geographical coverage, insufficient
infrastructure and inadequate technology. However certain regulations have
gathered opponents more than proponents.
On the contrary
The opponents of reform allowing
industrial houses to enter banking space have argued of conflict of interest between
corporate interest and banking interest. It has been observed that regulators
in other countries also do not allow corporate to set up banks and if they do
there are restrictions on ownership and voting rights. The flaw in the reform
is possibility of increase in risky loans from lending to related firms. If the
loans backfire it could trigger a huge crisis. But on the flip side India can
leverage upon deep pockets of corporate and bring new technologies to extend
financial inclusion to underserved markets.Rural branch coverage compulsion can
be a bottle neck as it is difficult to service those in remote areas and also
be profitable. Achieving priority sector lending target of 40% also seems
unrealistic considering existing banks failure to meet the target. But
constraints give way to innovations. FMCG companies have long back understood
the dynamics of the rural segment and have been making maximum money from
bottom of the pyramid. But careful thought and strategy will enable banks to
seek niches in this segment of population and make a difference.
RBI’s Objective
RBI along government have taken major
steps of nationalization of banks, priority sector lending norm, emphasis on
mobile banking in the past to bring un-banked population under the umbrella of
banking services. Being bank of banks RBI has responsibility of safeguarding
the public interest. It has come up with tight guidelines to ensure only
responsible people enter the banking space. The new entity is required to set
up a wholly-owned Non-Operative Financial Holding Company (NOFHC). This will
protect banking operation from other businesses of group. The high quality
regulation can ensure liquidity and profitability of banks. Kotak Mahidra bank
is the best example for the same.
Road Ahead
Overall guidelines by RBI seem to be a
welcome development, paving way for more capital and more players in the
sector. For the industry dominated by state lenders new banking license move is
intended to increase competition and efficiency in the sector. Although
challenges of risk management, rising NPAs, capital adequacy ratio compliance
and other stringent norms remain, the strong performance of banking sector over
past few years showcases vast opportunities.
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